Monday, July 20th, 2015

For Week Ending July 11, 2015

With the economy on the ups these days, the Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen, is predicting a fine-tuning of monetary policy by the end of the year. In tandem with the improving economy, the unemployment rate dropped by 0.2 percent to 5.3 percent for June 2015. It is widely believed that interest rates will go up before the year is over, which is a pretty clear indicator that the housing market is thrumming along at a good clip.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending July 11:

  • New Listings increased 2.7% to 2,143
  • Pending Sales increased 7.5% to 1,310
  • Inventory decreased 9.0% to 16,655

For the month of June:

  • Median Sales Price increased 4.7% to $229,900
  • Days on Market decreased 5.7% to 66
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.5% to 97.7%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 15.9% to 3.7

All comparisons are to 2014

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Posted in Weekly Report |
Monday, July 13th, 2015

For Week Ending July 4, 2015

As fireworks go boom, the boom of housing’s summer selling season tends to relax across the country, giving way to Facebook photos of families and friends at picnics and on road trips. Amidst the red, white and blue Instagram filters and patriotic Twitter profile pics, you’ll still likely see evidence of sales being made and articles about overall affordability. So take a quick break to play catch or chomp a hot dog, because the homeownership dream is alive and thriving this summer.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending July 4:

  • New Listings increased 0.2% to 1,270
  • Pending Sales increased 13.3% to 1,184
  • Inventory decreased 7.5% to 16,940

For the month of June:

  • Median Sales Price increased 4.7% to $229,900
  • Days on Market decreased 5.7% to 66
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.5% to 97.7%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 15.9% to 3.7

All comparisons are to 2014

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Posted in Weekly Report |
Monday, July 13th, 2015
By Aubray Erhardt on Monday, July 13th, 2015

The Twin Cities metropolitan housing market reached key milestones in June. Both pending purchase demand and closed unit sales officially reached 10-year highs. The last time demand was this strong was June 2005. The number of signed purchase agreements rose 19.2 percent to 6,266. Closed sales increased 22.0 percent to 6,928. Seller activity showed more modest gains compared to last year. New listings rose 4.6 percent to 8,678 during the month, which is a multi-year high. It’s the highest number of new listings for any month since April 2010. Excluding March and April of 2010, new listings were at their highest level for any month since June 2008. Despite that, the number of available properties fell 9.4 percent to 16,597 homes.

2015-06_ClosedSales-310x225

“Buyers have been extraordinarily active this spring and summer,” said Mike Hoffman, Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® (MAAR) President. “With both pending and closed sales activity officially reaching 10-year highs, consumers— particularly first-time buyers—understand that the timing is right. Therefore, sellers are also getting strong offers quickly.”

Given all this demand, the June 2015 median sales price climbed 4.7 percent to $229,900. That puts home prices within about 3.5 percent of the June 2006 record high of $238,000. However, the typical price per square foot, now at $128, is about 18.5 percent below its June 2006 record high.

The market landscape continues to favor sellers, even though it is still a historically attractive time to purchase real property. Because of the ongoing imbalance between supply and demand, the number of days a listing spends on the market fell 5.7 percent to 66 days. Sellers are accepting 97.8 percent of their original list price and 99.6 percent of their last list price. The Twin Cities metropolitan area currently has 3.6 months’ supply of inventory, which still signals a seller’s market. That figure dropped 18.2 percent from June 2014. This measure is essentially a ratio of supply and demand and indicates how long it would take to completely clear the market of all inventory assuming no new homes enter the marketplace.

According to the Federal Reserve, interest rates could still rise slowly later this year if the economy continues to perform well as it has been. Mortgage rates continue to hover on either side of 4.0 percent, compared with a long-term average of over 7.0 percent. The most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metropolitan area has the third lowest unemployment rate of any major metro. That puts our region behind only sister cities Austin, TX and Salt Lake City, UT. Minnesota and the Twin Cities specifically are uniquely well positioned to compete in today’s global economy.

“With positive momentum in housing and the economy, agents across the region are helping buyers and sellers achieve their real estate goals,” said Judy Shields, MAAR President-Elect. “Since most sellers are also buyers, those sitting on the fence may not want to wait to make their move.”
From The Skinny Blog.

Posted in The Skinny |
Wednesday, July 8th, 2015

For Week Ending June 27, 2015

Most markets in the U.S. should still be seeing that nice steady buzz of new listings and closed sales. The most opportune time of the year to get residential real estate business closed continues into the summer months. There will be an expected drop in activity around the Independence Day festivities and scheduled summer vacations, but it would not be shocking to see heightened activity in July and August in front of possible rate hikes later in the year.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending June 27:

  • New Listings increased 1.3% to 1,861
  • Pending Sales increased 20.0% to 1,462
  • Inventory decreased 7.3% to 16,998

For the month of May:

  • Median Sales Price increased 6.6% to $223,950
  • Days on Market decreased 5.0% to 76
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.7% to 97.5%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 9.8% to 3.7

All comparisons are to 2014

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Posted in Weekly Report |
Tuesday, July 7th, 2015

By David Arbit on Monday, July 6th, 2015

Percent_of_all_Sales_Above_X-percent-of-orig-price_NEW-702x500

Real estate professionals understand that there is an imbalance between supply and demand in most markets across the U.S. Buyers have been highly motivated by a variety of factors ranging from low (but rising) interest rates, job growth, rising rents, general optimism and other dynamics. Seller activity, however, has been more restrained—though there’s some evidence that’s starting to change.

In the Twin Cities, that imbalance between supply and demand has driven down absorption rates. With 3.6 months supply of inventory (5-6 is considered “balanced”), our market is still tilting toward sellers. In other words, low inventory combined with strong demand means many sellers are receiving multiple offers on well-priced and well-presented listings.

Buyers are essentially competing with each other in order to purchase the limited number of desirable homes on the market. It’s a regional bidding war: as buyers vie against one another, they may offer more than the list price of the home in order to win the day. That means sellers are sometimes yielding over 100 percent of their list price. It’s a dream-come-true for sellers. Now it just has to appraise!

In 2005, a full 33.8 percent of all closed sales sold for over 100 percent of the current list price. That’s over 1 in 3 sellers receiving more than their asking price. That figure fell to 18.9 percent as the market crash began in 2007, and it touched that low again in 2011. By 2013—a very strong recovery year—the figure had increased to 26.4 percent. After falling again to 22.0 percent of all sales in 2014, the number of homes that sold above list price has increased to 24.8 percent so far in 2015. With the second half of 2015 yet to be recorded, it’s possible we will end the year near 2013 levels, particularly as buyers face the looming risk of rising interest rates combined with climbing rents and an improving labor market.

Ultimately, a healthy and sustainable housing market should be well-balanced between sellers and buyers, supply and demand. A healthy market means relative equilibrium, one that favors neither buyers nor sellers, but allows for both sides of the transaction to successfully reach their goals. A healthy market means sellers are enjoying some appreciation but home prices aren’t dramatically outpacing incomes. After about a decade of lurching between boom and bust, the Twin Cities housing market as well as others across the nation finally seem to be settling into a healthy groove—for the time being.

Posted in The Skinny |

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